Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 1.923459 2.214541 2.528820 2.892625 3.301387 3.745689 4.264365
2024-10-13 1.481556 1.886795 2.362760 2.959627 3.684353 4.531858 5.593670
2024-10-20 1.138312 1.588720 2.159197 2.926601 3.922580 5.161212 6.806348
2024-10-27 0.930518 1.409112 2.056906 2.982779 4.254251 5.918706 8.237952
2024-11-03 0.772986 1.261420 1.963531 3.022745 4.551199 6.642755 9.678799
2024-11-10 0.643345 1.126267 1.860398 3.024106 4.780159 7.280022 11.041988
2024-11-17 0.531692 0.995989 1.740496 2.976881 4.921695 7.792483 12.256495
2024-11-24 0.439648 0.879415 1.621646 2.909801 5.016290 8.231816 13.384353
2024-12-01 0.379409 0.806160 1.560850 2.923661 5.230643 8.857935 14.824973
2024-12-08 0.324197 0.731365 1.485236 2.900093 5.376136 9.380521 16.133570
2024-12-15 0.291274 0.693340 1.468749 2.974214 5.686197 10.180212 17.922203
2024-12-22 0.257224 0.646491 1.428589 2.999082 5.910035 10.849916 19.538049
2024-12-29 0.239115 0.632173 1.452312 3.150737 6.381269 11.982194 22.017243
2025-01-05 0.216899 0.604756 1.446564 3.246229 6.761176 12.989465 24.359759
2025-01-12 0.187080 0.553358 1.383569 3.221087 6.914146 13.612868 26.089099
2025-01-19 0.168424 0.525480 1.366835 3.287171 7.244992 14.572014 28.457541
2025-01-26 0.150691 0.496107 1.342205 3.333007 7.538615 15.480911 30.788266
2025-02-02 0.132587 0.461557 1.300177 3.335563 7.744128 16.238070 32.887033
2025-02-09 0.114052 0.421224 1.237778 3.284593 7.833661 16.780026 34.619984
2025-02-16 0.097143 0.381331 1.169790 3.211700 7.868655 17.216324 36.176958
2025-02-23 0.086409 0.358122 1.140953 3.226911 8.092160 18.031559 38.489507
2025-03-02 0.075449 0.331173 1.097622 3.201265 8.222409 18.667224 40.488667
2025-03-09 0.069602 0.320487 1.097388 3.282084 8.595713 19.811858 43.528657